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What 2 Watch at the Olympic Trials: Sunday

What 2 Watch at the Olympic Trials: Sunday

| On 10, Jul 2016

Here is your viewer’s guide to the final day of the US Olympic Trials.

Before you get yourself acquainted with what is coming up today, you may want to check out our recap and photo gallery of yesterday’s action and last night’s House of Run mini-podcast.

Your important links…
USA Track and Field Olympic Trials home page
Track Town USA Olympic Trials home page
Live results
Today’s start lists

How to watch

Today’s NBC schedule (all times Eastern)…
4:45pm to 6:00pm: live stream via NBCOlympics.com
7:00pm to 8:30pm: live television coverage on NBC

Today’s schedule

There are eight and a half* finals today: the women’s pole vault, 400 hurdles, 5000 meters, 1500 meters, and 200 meters, the men’s high jump, 400 hurdles, and 1500 meters, and the final day of the *heptathlon.

The complete schedule below is listed by local time, so add 3 hours to get Eastern time.
Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 6.34.43 AM

Heptathlon

The schedule calls for the long jump at 1:00pm local time (4:00pm Eastern), the javelin at 2:00pm local time (5:00pm Eastern), and the 800 meters at 4:11pm local time (7:11pm Eastern).

After the first day, five women are in contention for the three Olympic spots, all of whom have already achieved the Olympic qualifying mark of 6200 points.

Barbara Nwaba (Santa Barbara TC) is the current leader with 3903 points. It’s a slim lead but should grow. Chasing her are Kendell Williams (Georgia), Heather Miller-Koch (Central Park TC), Sharon Day-Monroe (ASICS), and Erica Bougard (Mississippi State).

Based on current scores and second-day ability, I am predicting Nwaba, Miller-Koch and Day-Monroe as the three Olympians. Below I have each of the five, their PRs in the remaining events, and the projected scores. Of course I don’t expect each athlete to match their lifetime best in each event, but it does give a fairly good assessment of their abilities relative to each other.

Athlete    Day 1    LJ    (pts)    JT    (pts)    800    (pts)    Projected
Nwaba    3903    6.23    921    50.40    868    2:07.13    1007    6699
Miller-Koch    3822    6.55    1023    41.23    691    2:07.32    1004    6540
Day-Monroe    3813    6.15    896    47.38    809    2:08.94    980    6498
Williams    3892    6.54    1020    41.33    693    2:17.30    861    6466
Bougard    3804    6.43    985    40.38    675    2:08.39    988    6452

Women’s Pole Vault

Fourteen finalists begin competition at 2:50pm local time (5:50pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 7.03.29 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Jenn Suhr (adidas), Sandi Morris (Nike), and Lexi Weeks (Arkansas) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
The pole vault is an inherently unpredictable event, but world indoor champion and record holder Jenn Suhr (adidas) rates as a strong favorite. Sandi Morris (Nike) would have been another extremely strong favorite until a broken pole and injured wrist took her out of action for a period of time. She returned to action in the qualifying round and appeared recovered.

The USA has quite a few good pole vaulters, so the battle for third could be intense. Among those who could claim it are Kylie Hutson (Nike), Katie Nageotte, Kristen Hixson, Megan Clark (Duke), and Mary Saxer (Nike).

Complicating factors: Eugene seems like it has two kinds of weather: rain, and threatening to rain.

Men’s High Jump

Fourteen finalists will begin competition at 3:00pm local time (6:00pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 7.15.40 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Erik Kynard (Brand Jordan), Jeron Robinson (Texas A&M–Kingsville), and Jesse Williams (Nike/Oregon TC) Ricky Robertson to make the team.

In a nutshell:
Erik Kynard (Brand Jordan) is head and shoulders above the rest of the USA’s high jumpers. After that it’s basically wide open, especially since two of the favorites (Jesse Williams and Randall Cunningham) no-heighted in the qualifying round in heavy rain.

Jeron Robinson (Texas A&M-Kingsville) gave us the unusual year in which an event’s best collegian was in Division II. Bryan McBride and Ricky Robertson are two more who could make it.

Complicating factors: Besides the ever-present possibility of wet weather, the Olympic qualifying mark of 2.29 meters (7′ 6″) could come into play. The finalists who have achieved it are Kynard, Robinson, McBride, Robertson, Avion Jones, and Brad Akins.

Women’s 400 meter Hurdles

Eight finalists get into the blocks at 3:00pm local time (6:00pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 7.29.39 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Shamier Little (Texas A&M), Georganne Moline (Nike), Dalilah Muhammad, Ashley Spencer (Nike), and Cassandra Tate (adidas) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
Two of the favorites, Shamier Little and Georganne Moline, are not in the final. Little failed to qualify from the semifinals and Moline withdrew due to injury. Everyone will be paying attention to 16-year-old Sydney McLaughlin (Union Catholic HS), who appears likely to finish in the top three and become the youngest track Olympian in 36 years. But don’t be fooled by the hype, Delilah Muhammed is going to win this. I rate third place as a true toss-up, any of the other six finalists could do it.

Women’s 5000 meters

Sixteen finalists toe the line at 4:28pm local time (7:28pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 7.39.31 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Nicole Tully (Hoka One One), Abbey D’Agostino (New Balance), and Molly Huddle (Saucony) to make the team.
Let’s Run picks Molly Huddle (Saucony), Shelby Houlihan (Nike/Bowerman TC) and Emily Infeld (Nike/Bowerman TC) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
Yesterday’s men’s 5000 meters was probably the most interesting race I’ve ever seen. I don’t expect that to happen again, but this race has many more than just three top-notch runners in it and good athletes will be left off the Olympic team.

Molly Huddle (Saucony) is the best runner in the USA right now, although the 5000 is on the short end of her range. The Bowerman Track Club has been en fuego through the Trials and Shelby Houlihan and Emily Infeld are in the picture — and note that Houlihan has a 2:01 PR in the 800, making her deadly in a kick.

There is a long list of other contenders: Katie Mackey (Brooks Beasts TC), Nicole Tully (Hoka One One), Kim Conley (New Balance), Marielle Hall (Nike), Abbey D’Agostino (New Balance).

Complicating factors: All three 10k Olympians are doubling back to the 5k and, if any finish in the top three, just might relinquish their spot in this event.

Men’s 400 meter Hurdles

Eight finalists start at 4:51pm local time (7:51pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 8.01.44 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Bershawn Jackson (Nike), Johnny Dutch, and Michael Tinsley (adidas) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
Michael Tinsley (adidas) has two wins on the Diamond League circuit this year but might not be the favorite. Bershawn Jackson (Nike) is seeking a return to the Olympics–he made the team in 2008 but missed it in 2012–and at age 33 he has to pick his spots. Johnny Dutch and Kerron Clement (Nike) are your best bets for third.

Complicating factors: Jackson is stuck down in lane one.

Women’s 1500 meters

Twelve finalists report at 5:00pm local time (8:00pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 8.39.24 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Jenny Simpson (New Balance), Shannon Rowbury (Nike Oregon Project), and Brenda Martinez (New Balance/Big Bear TC) to make the team.
Let’s Run picks Jenny Simpson (New Balance), Shannon Rowbury (Nike Oregon Project), and Brenda Martinez (New Balance/Big Bear TC) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
Jenny Simpson (New Balance) and Shannon Rowbury (Nike Oregon Project) have been the two best women’s milers in the USA for quite some time. Weird things can happen in the 1500, but it would be considered one of those weird things if either failed to make the Olympic team.

The consensus third pick is Brenda Martinez (New Balance/Big Bear TC), who got bumped in the 800 meter final and taken out of a potential Olympic spot. A few days ago NBC’s Lewis Johnson asked about how she’s dealing with the 800 meter mishap, and she said “What are you going to do when someone clips your heels? Track doesn’t care about your feelings.”

If you’re looking for an outsider, consider Morgan Uceny (adidas) or Alexa Efraimson (Nike). The former hasn’t been the same since a pair of high-profile falls in global championship finals but is looking the best she has in a while. The latter is one of the young women who skipped college track in favor of a pro career and has been quietly doing well.

Women’s 200 meters

Eight finalists take their marks at 5:11pm local time (8:11pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 8.54.51 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Allyson Felix (Nike), Tori Bowie (adidas), and Ariana Washington (Oregon) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
NBC will make this The Allyson Felix Show, but Tori Bowie (adidas) will seek to upstage her. In any case, these two look to be the best.

Third place will probably be a current or former Oregon Duck, which is a nice way of hedging my bets. The choices are Jenna Pradini (Puma), Ariana Washington (Oregon), and Deajah Stevens (Oregon).

Men’s 1500 meters

The meet concludes with the 12 finalists at 5:50pm local time (8:50pm Eastern).

Screen Shot 2016-07-10 at 9.03.01 AMExpert analysis:
Track and Field News picks Matthew Centrowitz (Nike Oregon Project), Ben Blankenship (Nike/Oregon TC), and Leo Manzano (Hoka One One) to make the team.
Let’s Run picks Matthew Centrowitz (Nike Oregon Project), Robby Andrews (adidas), and Leo Manzano (Hoka One One) to make the team.

In a nutshell:
Matthew Centrowitz (Nike Oregon Project) is a master 1500 meter tactician with excellent finishing speed and rates as a heavy favorite. After that, the consensus is that three other men are fighting for two Olympic spots.

Two of them are known as fast finishers, Robby Andrews (adidas) and Leo Manzano (Hoka One One). Ben Blankenship (Nike/Oregon TC) is just fast, period.

Complicating factors: Of the other eight finalists, only Kyle Merber (Hoka One One) has achieved the Olympic standard of 3:36.20, and he hasn’t run well at all this year. This could lead to outsiders forcing the pace early, as two brave souls did in last night’s wild 5000 final, and Jordan McNamara (Nike/Oregon TC) is looking for help in doing just that.

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